How to Calculate the Standard Deviation
Which of these sets of values would you expect to have the larger standard
deviation?
|
"A":
|
6
|
24
|
37
|
49
|
64
|
(Mean: 36)
|
|
"B" :
|
111
|
114
|
117
|
118
|
120
|
(Mean: 116)
|
Values in the "A" set are more dispersed (they deviate more from the
mean) than those in the "B" set, so the standard deviation will be
larger in the "A" set. Let's see how this works out:
|
Value
|
Deviation
|
Value
|
Deviation
|
|
6
|
-30
|
111
|
-5
|
|
24
|
-20
|
114
|
-2
|
|
37
|
+1
|
117
|
+1
|
|
49
|
+13
|
118
|
+2
|
|
64
|
+28
|
120
|
+4
|
We can't simply take an average of the deviations because they will always add
up to zero (the negative deviations cancel out the positive). To overcome this
difficulty, we square each deviation. (This gets rid of negative values, since
a negative multiplied by a negative yield a positive.) So for the "B"
values, we have: 25 (-5 x -5), 4 (-2 x -2), 1 (l x l), 4 (2x2), and 16 (4x4).
The mean (average) of these squared deviations is called the Variance.
|
Variance =
|
24 + 4 + 1 + 4
+16
|
=
|
50
|
= 10
|
|
5
|
5
|
The variance is a measure with uses of its own. But it does have one
disadvantage for everyday use: If original values are in dollars - as when
you're calculating hourly winnings or losses from a poker games - then the
variance is in dollars squared. To get back into the same units as the observed
values, we take the square root of the variance. This result is what we call
the standard deviation.
The standard deviation for the
distribution shown above = 3.16 (the square root of 10). The same calculations
for the "A" set yield a variance of 399.6, and a standard deviation
of 19.99. Now that you've walked through the process of calculating a standard
deviation and understand the process, here's how you can simplify things:
Just use a spreadsheet program or specialized poker software like Stat King to
enter computer records of your results. Then you're off the hook: The
spreadsheet's statistical capabilities will compute your average hourly results
(mean) and standard deviation for you. Moreover, the software will track them
on a cumulative basis. Alternatively, you can get yourself a pocket calculator
that performs statistical functions. It'll cost under $20, and will also spare
you the hassle of tedious arithmetic operations.
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