ANALYSIS
AT THE TABLE
Like
any other gambling games, poker is a game of risks
versus rewards. Any decision you make at the poker
table can be thought of as a comparison of the
risk involved in a particular play and the possible
reward for the play. There are three questions
involved in arriving at a decision: How great is
the risk? How great is the reward? Is the reward
great enough to justify the risk?
When
deciding whether to bluff, your risk is a bet.
Your reward is the pot (as well as advertising
value if you show the bluff). When deciding whether
to bet a mediocre hand before all the cards are
out, you risk a bet. If successful, your reward
(when your opponent doesn't simply fold) is that
you didn't give a lesser hand a free card to outdraw
you. When you check a big hand, you risk losing
a bet on that round as well as losing the pot to
a hand that would have folded if you bet. Your
reward is a check-raise or future bets on later
rounds. When deciding whether to call, your risk
is a bet, and your reward is the pot. Any poker
decision can be put into these terms. What do you
have to gain (including future benefits on subsequent
hands) by making a particular play? What do you
have to lose? The ability to evaluate properly
the risk-reward ratio for any poker decision is
the ultimate test on the road to becoming a champion
poker player.
The
trouble is that unlike chess and many other games,
poker is a game of speed. Every once in a while
you are allowed to think about a hand, but in general
you have to make decisions in a few seconds. You
can't sit there for two minutes calculating odds,
trying to read your opponents' hands, trying to
figure out what they are thinking, and then deciding
upon your best play. For one thing the other players
at the table wouldn't tolerate your dawdling. For
another, you would be giving away information about
your hand, since any time you paused unduly long
to reflect, your opponents would know you had some
kind of problem. (Consequently, when you find,
despite your best efforts, you have to pause often
when you're playing, you should also pause when
you have no reason, to throw your opponents off.)
Poker
tends to be a game for quick-thinking people. Some
geniuses are plodding thinkers, unable to come
to quick decisions, and they can never become great
poker players. On the other hand, some of the best
poker players in the world are not super minds,
but they are super-quick minds and can remember
any mistake they and their opponents make. Some
combination of quick thinking and instant recall
has to be developed if you want to become a poker
champion.