First Position Play in Practice
Let us now see how first-position play heads-up on the end works in
practice.
Suppose in draw poker you draw three cards in first position and make aces up.
Your opponent draws one card. He may have two pair, or he may be drawing to a
straight or a flush. You feel that this type of player will call with two pair
if you bet but will bet them for value if you check. How should you play?
There's no mystery here. Clearly you should check and call. By checking and
calling, you may save a bet in one situation and gain a bet in another. With
two pair, your opponent will call if you bet and bet if you check. So you win
either way. If your opponent was drawing to a flush or a straight and makes it,
he will of course bet if you check, but he will call, or probably raise, if you
bet - which will cost you an extra bet if you call the raise. With a busted
hand, your opponent will not call if you bet, so you gain nothing by betting.
However, your opponent might bet on a bluff if you check. In this single
instance you win an extra bet by checking and calling. So checking and calling
has greater expectation than betting. And to repeat: The object of poker is not
to win pots but to win money; it is with these extra bets won or saved that you
win money.
Here is another draw poker situation. You draw one card to two small pair, and
your opponent draws three. You don't improve. You know your opponent suspects
you were drawing to a flush or a straight, and you also know this player's a
pay station, the type who will call "to keep you honest." How should
you play?
You should bet. Assuming your opponent was drawing three to a big pair, you're
about a 71 percent favorite to have the best hand. Any time you're even a small
favorite against someone you know is going to call virtually every time, you
should bet. In this case you're wagering even money as a 71 percent or 5-to-2
favorite. Clearly that's a wager with positive expectation even though you
expect to lose 29 percent of the time.
You should probably come out betting. If you are up against something like A,
10 or K, 10 or J, 10, you lose either way. If you check, your opponent will
surely bet, and you will call. If your opponent has Q, 10, you may lose a
double bet by betting out since your opponent will raise. On the other hand, if
your opponent has hands like 10, 8 or 10, 7 or 10, 6, you win either way; if
you check, your opponent will most likely bet. However, two very possible hands
your opponent might have are A, Q and K,Q which he may very well not bet if you
check but with which he will probably call if you bet. Since you are likely to
gain a bet more frequently than you lose one (when your opponent raises),
betting has greater expectation than checking and calling. Put in terms of the
rules given earlier, in this situation your opponent will call with more hands
than he will bet. A final set of examples from draw lowball should demonstrate
how your play on the end in first position varies directly in terms of your
opponent. Both players in the pot draw one card, and you are first to actYou
are up against a player who doesn't bluff but is always afraid everyone else
does. How should you act?
You should bet. Your opponent will probably call with a queen-low or better,
while only a seven-low or better will beat you. Therefore your opponent will
call with many hands that you will beat and a relative few that will beat you.
On the other hand, if you checked, your opponent would not bet most of those
losing hands. Thus, you stand to win more often by betting than by checking.
Suppose you have the same hand in draw lowball against an aggressive, tough
player, and you're first. How should you play? In this case, you should check
and call because your opponent is likely to bet more hands than he calls with.
Besides beating your opponent's rough 8s, you also snap off his bluffs, which
you could not do if you came out betting. Ordinarily, if you bet, your opponent
would give up the idea of bluffing. In general, a player who bets with more
hands than he calls with is the type of player who not only bets for value but
also bluffs perhaps more often than is correct. Thus, when you check, your
opponent's bluffing hands are added to those he bets for value.
Once again you're up against that player who never bluffs but worries that everyone
else does. You're first. How should you play?
Here you should check and fold if your opponent bets. Since your hand beats
only queen-, jack-, and ten-lows (the losing handswith which your opponent
would call), it is no longer worth a bet for value, because you get beat with
his nine-lows and better. And since this opponent never bets on a bluff, you
should fold in the face of a bet. The odds that you are beat are overwhelming.
Against the aggressive player, you would also check, but you would call a bet
since there are many hands this opponent might be betting that you can beat. In
other words, a call against this type of player would have positive
expectation.
A calling hand but your opponent will call with more hands than he will bet.
Finally, if you have virtually no chance of winning if you check and your
opponent bets and you are an underdog if you bet and he calls, then the proper
play is to check and fold if he bets.
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