Psychology and Future Impressions
Varying your play and making an
"incorrect" play intentionally are also part of the psychology of
poker because you are trying to affect the thinking of your opponents for
future hands. To take a simple example, you might make three-of-a-kind on
fourth street in seven-card stud with two of the cards showing and check your
open pair on a slow play. Assuming your opponents saw your hand in a showdown,
if you make a similar three-of-a-kind later in the session, you might bet it
then. Since you checked three-of-a-kind before, your opponents are now likely
to think you do not have three-of-a-kind, but something like two small pair or
one pair and a three-flush. In other words, you are taking advantage of the
impression you created earlier to get paid off later when you bet.
By the same token, let's say you make an open pair on fourth street, but this
time that's all you have. You check. Now your opponents will be suspicious that
you may have three-of-a-kind. They may give you a free card, and if one of them
bets, you can be fairly certain that player has a good hand.
In general, you should evaluate any play you make on its merits alone - that
is, on its expectation in a given situation. However, as we suggested in the
page on bluffing, you might occasionally want to do something that is
theoretically incorrect, especially in a no-limit games. You might either bluff
a hand when you are almost sure you won't get away with it or fold a legitimate
hand when you think you are getting bluffed and then show the hand. What you
are trying to do is create an impression for the future. You are making a bad
play so that it sticks in everybody's mind. Once you have opponents thinking
one way, you take advantage of that thinking later. These types of plays will
work against players who are good enough to try to take advantage of their
new-found knowledge but who are not good enough to realize that you know they
are going to try to take advantage of it and that they should therefore ignore
it. Once again it comes down to knowing your opponents. You have to know how
they think and whether they are capable of thinking on the level you are giving
them credit for. If they think on a still higher level, you have to step up to
that level too.
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