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To Remember
Reading hands well is a powerful poker weapon because it allows
you to play correctly more often, according to the Fundamental
Theorem of Online Poker Games. The better you read your opponents' hands,
the less likely you are to play your hand differently from
the way you would play it if you could actually see what your
opponents had. Weak players are difficult to read because
there is little pattern to their play. Good players are easier
because there is logic to their play. However, very tough
players are more difficult to read because of their ability
to disguise their hands.
One way to read hands is to put opponents on a variety of
possible hands and eliminate some of them on the basis of
their play and the cards they catch from one round to the
next, keeping track of the order in which they catch their
cards. A second complementary way is to work backward, looking
at an opponent's later plays in terms of how he played his
hand in earlier rounds.
You can also read hands by using mathematics, by comparing
possible hands on the basis of Bayes' Theorem. If you know
an opponent will bet only certain hands, you form a ratio
based on the probability of that opponent being dealt each
of those hands. To simplify, you can divide his possible hands
between those you can beat and those you can't beat. The ratio
tells you which of the hands he is favored to have.
Finally, when reading hands you must consider the number of
people in the pot. When there is a caller ahead of you, the
caller and the original bettor cannot both be bluffing, so
you must play on the assumption that you are up against at
least one legitimate hand. When there is a raiser ahead of
you with the same standards as yours, you should have more
than your minimum raising hand to call that raiser because
you have to figure your minimal raising hand is beat.
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