why not ignore the tenets of long-term strategy, make
decisions on the basis of inspiration and intuition,
and rely on good luck to make you a winner? If you've
spent any time in a casino, I'm sure that you have
seen many players who gamble this way. Can you also
play this way and come out ahead in the long run?
In my opinion, and in the opinion of the experts,
the answer is NO!
The experts base their advice once again on computer
analysis. For instance, many online blackjack games
players will not draw to a 16 when the dealer has
a 7 or higher as his exposed card because they think
they will bust the hand, and hope that the dealer
instead will draw a bust card. The fact of the matter
is that the experts have proven that this player hand
is generally a loser, but that the player will lose
less in the long run by hitting the 16. Similar analyses
have been conducted for all sorts of decision-making
situations in all types of casino gaming, and the
experts' findings indisputably prove that the player
who is in the games for the long run will be a long
run loser if he fails to maximize his win potential
by following the recommended strategies.
From a psychological standpoint, I'm much more comfortable
playing according to the recommendations made by the
experts. As a former schoolteacher, I believe in education
and trust the opinions of informed teachers much more
than I trust my instincts or intuition, and I quit
relying on luck a long time ago!
I also find that it's much easier to play casino games
if decision-making is predetermined and ingrained
in my mind. Play becomes almost automatic, and allows
me time to enjoy the entire casino experience without
devoting all of my mental and emotional efforts to
play-by-play decision making.
Simply stated, the smart casino gambler must follow
the recommendations of established experts if he or
she wishes to be a long-term potential winner. In
spite of the weaknesses of the recommended strategies,
they are still the best bet in the house. No matter
how many hands you play, you only have two choices-either
play perfectly, or play poorly. The totality of your
play will be fairly close to the expert's projections,
even if individual results of play deviate from the
Let Uncle Harry, and George, your best friend, and
Mary, your husband's niece, be the ones to gamble
by the seat of their pants, and you be the one who
leaves the casino with a profit!
obviously has a huge psychological component. But
there's nothing mystical about bluffing, and there
are some concrete factors-some of them fairly obvious-that
offer some ground rules:
In order to win a pot by bluffing, you must make all
your opponents fold .