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The House Database
 

With a cautious progression the wins are big, and the losing streaks small but numerous. Usually, the increased bets simply return the balance back to the starting point more quickly than it climbed. The bankroll follows the pattern of slow, steady losses, punctuated by occasional significant wins. With imagination, you can develop many low-variance patterns; what's important is to stick with them. One concept that might appeal is to make every fifth bet a large one. The variance could then be controlled by adjusting the interval between big bets. This can also be combined with a catch-point; bet big every third bet above a certain balance, and slow it down to every fifth at lower amounts. Chapter 9 will delve into this, but it is important to structure betting patterns with some artificial scheme. This is so that wagers follow a low-variance advance plan, rather than respond to the nervousness of falling behind or the flush of a win. Caution is important during wins as well as losses - the math chapter will explain how variance is effected more by the highest bets than the average of them all.

Keep in mind that the only purpose of progressions is to look like a gambler without accumulating too much variance. Progressions cannot make money; they only effect how fast you lose it. Progressions will often appear to be remarkably successful, and the tendency is for them to start becoming a strategy rather than a disguise. Do not get sucked into the cult of stupidity that thinks this is a way to make money. Progressions provide good cover because they are so popular. There are entire websites offering CDs full of these nitwitted gambling systems. (Keep trying them, one will eventually work! But for some reason they seem to lose their effectiveness, so there is a continual search for new ones.)

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