The "Perfect" Bet

The advantage distribution for the tie is comparatively stable when the deck structure is intact, hence the small effects of removal calculated by Griffin. Conventional linear count systems, however, assume a standard deck, and with extreme concentrations of cards in small subsets this assumption can be wildly inaccurate. The huge shifts in edge which are necessary to detect in order to gain an advantage, occur with the rise in the total number of denominations eliminated from the pack, although the specific denominations are relatively unimportant. To a certain extent, this is empirically verifiable. With only one card of any value remaining, the tie wager enjoys an advantage of between 5W and 800 percent. With two denominations, the advantage falls slightly, as the possible number of outcomes is doubled. By the time we reach five or six denominations, the advantage (if any) becomes marginal. This "concentration theory" is not only relevant to Online Baccarat Games, it is a necessary addition to the fundamental theory of card counting, and to the mathematics of sampling without replacement.

To learn these rules, and to note the cards accurately as they are dealt, may seem daunting. Actually, with application the task becomes relatively easy and can be learned perfectly with a few months practice.

When a player does detect a favorable situation, he will never know his precise advantage, a serious drawback to this system because it can lead to over betting. It should not, however, unduly trouble the well financed player. When these occur, the advantages are often high-on average around 20 percent-though they can rise to as much as 450 percent. I once detected a situation in which there were only l0s and 5s in the deck, which yielded approximately that great of an edge. A bet of \$10,000 resulted in a win of \$90,000!

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A Parting Shot on Omaha-8

In an Omaha-8 game that is loose, passive, and staffed ~by six or so players-often the case in a Home Game-1 am prepared to defend the claim that hand selectivity is more important after the flop than before it.

From a purely statistical basis, the gap between the best Omaha-8 starting hands and the worst ones is not nearly as great as it is in Hold'em . Starting hand criteria in O,naha-8 are based less cm absolute hand strength than on avoiding traps into losing draws. It is chasing these losing draws, not calling with bad starters, that costs Omaha-8 players the most money. If you have a (rood understanding of the strengths and vulnerabilities of hands after the flop and you have the discipline to drop draws that you know are unwise, seeing the flop for one low bet can be a great value with a lot more hands than standard guidance allows you to call with.

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