To
illustrate this, again using the Hi Lo count, one
can calculate a basic strategy advantage of 18% for
a +13 count with 13 cards remaining from a single
deck. Note that this is below the 26% we would presume
using .5% per true count. But for a -13 count with
13 cards remaining the basic strategy expectation
is a whopping -135% because of the many hopeless doubles
and splits. This is far below the estimated -26%.
it therefore follows that for at least one of the
running counts betien -12 and +12 the actual expectation
must be higher than the .5% per true count figure
would indicate. This is because the overall expectation
with 13 cards left must be precisely the full deck
0%.
To learn more about what happens in actual Online
Blackjack Games we must resort to simulations. |

This
may seem like an unreasonably long time, but the reality
is that one big hand can skew your results for one
5-hour session. One outrageously lucky or unlucky
card can turn a winning session into a losing one,
and vice-versa. A few lucky hands might convince you
your hourly rate for $20-40 hold'em is $20/hour, while
your actual hourly rate might be $5 or even minus
$10/hour. Only after you have played so many hands
that your luck has evened out can you possibly gauge
your established hourly rate. |