we have been using optimal proportional betting and
"Wonging it:" we find this method superior
to changing bets with the count for two reasons. First,
we attract little or no heat, except if we spend too
much time at one pit. Second, we have never liked
losing big bets and then having to try to catch up
with small bets because the count has dropped; making
big bets every time suits me better.
we have a question. You talk about "jumping into
a game in progress." Is this a dangerous way
to play? Can you suggest some guidelines for this
type of play? Specifically, when we are playing six-deck
shoes, when should we consider not playing the method
- when one, two, or three decks have already been
dealt before we arrive? Should we lower our bet because
of the additional risk or is there, in fact, no additional
risk? What are the dangers?
There is no additional risk and there is no danger.
The only problem with jumping into a game in which
cards have already been discarded and you do not have
a count of them is that the shuffle comes too soon.
Suppose for example six decks have been shuffled,
two have been cut off, and three have been used before
you start to count. You are only going to be able
to see the cards from one deck before the dealer shuffles.
You will be dividing your running count by five or
six to get your count per deck. You never get to play
against a big count per deck if you get to see only
one deck out of six before the cards are shuffled.
loose player would probably play 70 hands, avoiding
only the bad ones.
player waits for quality starting hands. He would
play only the 20 good hands, although a very tight
player might play only a dozen, and a moderately tight
player might play 30.
a middle ground for players who choose to play SO
or so hands. Some people want a third label for "average"
players, while others want just to use "slightly
tight" or "barely loose." When you
start arguing about points like this, you're starting
to lose the forest for the trees. Labels are only
a tool and one has to think to use that tool. The
thinking can happen when you create the labels, but
it's probably wiser to do it later in the process
when you actually need to make judgments and decisions
about how to play hands.