wager gets hardly any play, since even the densest
of craps players realizes intuitively that it's a
terrible bet. Here's why. There are six ways to make
a 7 out of 36 combinations of dice, and the correct
odds paid on this bet should be 36-6 or 5-1. Since
the house pays either 5 for 1 or 4-1 (the same thing)
it has a staggering edge of 16.67 percent over the
Avoid this bet at all costs.
For this discussion, assume that with a paired board,
the nuts is the top full house. Also assume that with
an unpaired board, the nuts is the ace-high flush
(if suited cards appear) or the top straight. Many
hands will be won with something less, but when you're
staying in on a draw, you'd be wise to be drawing
to the nuts.
Similarly, if a board finishes with three cards of
one suit, it's quite likely that someone has a flush.
If the flush becomes possible because the turn and
river fall in suit, it's slightly less likely that
someone will have a backdoor flush, and if someone
does have it, it's not as likely to be the nut flush.